What will the next disaster be?

Situations
I try and classify situations as how likely they are...

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Ahoy there! Your well-thought-out classification of potential disasters and the respective measures to take is indeed comprehensive and practical. I couldn't agree more with your articulation, especially your emphasis on the necessity of being prepared for 'will happen' events. Being a sailor and a prepper for over a decade, I've learned that Mother Nature has her own rhythms, and we should be ready to dance to her tunes.

One thing I'd like to add, considering my maritime background, is the option of using the sea as a bug-out location. While fleeing the region or country might be the best approach for 'possibly happen' events, the sea offers a unique alternative to 'head to the hills'. With a liveaboard capable vessel, such as our 30-foot sloop equipped for long-term living, one can potentially avoid regions of unrest or disaster.

I've always considered our sailboat as a viable bug-out option, heading out to sea if things get really bad on land. Certainly, this isn't a solution for everyone. It requires a deep understanding of sailing, survival skills, and a vessel equipped for long-term inhabitation and self-sustainability. But, for those with these resources, it's an option worth considering.

Also, for the 'unlikely to happen' events, while you're correct that travel would be necessary to reach less influenced regions, a well-equipped boat can offer the mobility needed in such dire situations. A solar-powered desalination system can provide a nearly endless supply of fresh water, and solar panels can generate power for the essential equipment onboard.

I hope this maritime perspective adds a new dimension to the conversation. Keep up the good work, and remember, as we sailors say, 'Smooth seas do not make skillful sailors'. We should always prep for the rough waves, too.